99 vs AKs odds
99 beats AKs 52.6% of the time before the flop, winning outright 52.4% and splitting 0.4%. AKs holds the remaining 47.4%. These figures are exact: all 3,424,608 possible boards were evaluated across 24 card combinations.
Equity by street
The same matchup on three flops that ask different questions: one that connects with nothing, one that offers a flush draw and a straight draw, and one that puts a pair on the board.
| Street | Board | 99 | AKs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Preflop | - | 52.6% | 47.4% |
| Dry flop | Kd 7h 2c | 8.5% | 91.5% |
| Wet flop | 9h 8h 6d | 91.7% | 8.3% |
| Paired flop | Qs Qd 4c | 70.5% | 29.5% |
| Hand | Win | Tie | Lose | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 52.4% | 0.4% | 47.2% | 52.6% |
| AKs | 47.2% | 0.4% | 52.4% | 47.4% |
Why this matchup matters
Close to a coinflip. 99 at 52.6% is within a few points of even, which means the pot odds rather than the hand strength decide whether getting the money in is correct. Small edges like this are worth taking when the pot is already large and worth declining when the decision is for stacks in a spot you can leave.
Questions about this matchup
What are the odds of 99 against AKs?
99 has 52.6% equity against AKs before the flop. It wins outright 52.4% of the time, loses 47.2% and splits the pot 0.4%.
Are these numbers exact or estimated?
Exact. Every one of the 3,424,608 board runouts was evaluated across all 24 ways the two hands can be dealt. No sampling was used, so there is no margin of error.
How does the flop change 99 versus AKs?
On a dry Kd 7h 2c flop, 99 holds 8.5%. On a wet 9h 8h 6d board with a flush draw and a straight draw available, it holds 91.7%. Coordinated boards move equity towards the hand that can draw.
Should AKs get all-in against 99 before the flop?
It is close to a coinflip at 47.4%, so the decision comes down to the price. With dead money in the pot it is fine; for a clean stack-off with no extra equity it is roughly break-even.
Both hands
Similar matchups
Hear the day the trainer opens
99 versus AKs is settled arithmetic; recognising the spot in real time is not, and that is what the trainer drills. Everything opens without a card while Learn GTO is in early access.
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