AA vs AKo odds
AA beats AKo 93.2% of the time before the flop, winning outright 92.5% and splitting 1.3%. AKo holds the remaining 6.8%. These figures are exact: all 3,424,608 possible boards were evaluated across 36 card combinations.
Equity by street
The same matchup on three flops that ask different questions: one that connects with nothing, one that offers a flush draw and a straight draw, and one that puts a pair on the board.
| Street | Board | AA | AKo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Preflop | - | 93.2% | 6.8% |
| Dry flop | Kd 7h 2c | 91.4% | 8.6% |
| Wet flop | 9h 8h 6d | 96.7% | 3.3% |
| Paired flop | Qs Qd 4c | 98.0% | 2.0% |
| Hand | Win | Tie | Lose | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AA | 92.5% | 1.3% | 6.2% | 93.2% |
| AKo | 6.2% | 1.3% | 92.5% | 6.8% |
Why this matchup matters
A pair against two overcards is the classic coinflip, and AA at 93.2% shows how close to even it really is. The pair is ahead right now and stays ahead on roughly two-thirds of flops; the overcards win by pairing either card, which happens about one time in three. When the pair is higher than both cards the picture changes completely, then the overcards are drawing to three outs twice rather than six.
Questions about this matchup
What are the odds of AA against AKo?
AA has 93.2% equity against AKo before the flop. It wins outright 92.5% of the time, loses 6.2% and splits the pot 1.3%.
Are these numbers exact or estimated?
Exact. Every one of the 3,424,608 board runouts was evaluated across all 36 ways the two hands can be dealt. No sampling was used, so there is no margin of error.
How does the flop change AA versus AKo?
On a dry Kd 7h 2c flop, AA holds 91.4%. On a wet 9h 8h 6d board with a flush draw and a straight draw available, it holds 96.7%. Coordinated boards move equity towards the hand that can draw.
Should AKo get all-in against AA before the flop?
Not for a full stack by choice. At 6.8% the pot needs to be offering considerably better than even money before calling off is profitable.
Both hands
Similar matchups
Hear the day the trainer opens
AA versus AKo is settled arithmetic; recognising the spot in real time is not, and that is what the trainer drills. Everything opens without a card while Learn GTO is in early access.
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