AA (Pocket aces) odds & win probability
AA wins 85.2% of the time against a random hand and ranks 1 of 169 starting hands. It is a pocket pair with 6 combinations, 0.5% of all deals, and it is a raise from under the gun onward in a 6-max game.
The numbers
| Against | Equity |
|---|---|
| One random hand | 85.2% |
| 2 random hands | 73.4% |
| 4 random hands | 55.8% |
| 6 random hands | 43.6% |
| 8 random hands | 34.6% |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Wins outright | 85.0% |
| Splits the pot | 0.5% |
| Loses | 14.5% |
| Combinations | 6 |
| Share of all deals | 0.45% |
| Playability rank | 1 of 169 |
| Percentile | 100.0 |
Where AA sits in each opening range
Six-max, 100 big blinds. The gold outline marks AA; red is the raising range.
- UTGRaise
Under the gun opening range with AA highlighted - HJRaise
Hijack opening range with AA highlighted - CORaise
Cutoff opening range with AA highlighted - BTNRaise
Button opening range with AA highlighted - SBRaise
Small blind opening range with AA highlighted
How to play AA
Playing it before the flop
Raise it from every seat, every time. AA is ahead of a random hand 85.2% of the time, and there is no position early enough to justify slowing down. The mistake players make with it is not raising too often, it is raising too small, letting three opponents see a flop against a hand that wants to be heads-up.
Facing a 3-bet
Re-raise. This is the top of the range, so it is exactly the hand a 4-bet is built around. Flat-calling a 3-bet here caps your range at hands that could not stand a raise, which is the opposite of the truth, and it invites a multiway pot that a big pair does not want.
After the flop
The danger is falling in love. AA is a made hand, not a draw, so it loses value on every street that completes something. Bet while you are ahead, and treat a passive opponent who suddenly raises a coordinated board as the credible threat they usually are.
Common matchups
AA questions
How often does AA win?
AA wins 85.2% of the time against a single random hand, 85.0% outright, with a 0.5% chance of splitting the pot. That makes it the 1st strongest of the 169 starting hands.
Should I raise with AA?
Yes, from under the gun onward in a six-handed game. Earlier than that there are too many players still to act for the hand to be profitable as an open.
How many combinations of AA are there?
There are 6 combinations of Pocket aces, which is 0.5% of the 1,326 possible starting hands. Every pocket pair has six.
How does AA hold up against several opponents?
Against eight opponents its equity falls to 34.6%. Every extra player reduces the share, but a hand that makes the nuts loses less of it than a hand that only makes a pair.
Neighbouring hands
Hear the day the AA drills open
You read the whole page, which is more than most. The course and the trainer that deals AA from every seat open without a card while Learn GTO is in early access, and this list hears first when that changes.
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