AKs vs JTs odds
AKs beats JTs 62.0% of the time before the flop, winning outright 61.8% and splitting 0.5%. JTs holds the remaining 38.0%. These figures are exact: all 3,424,608 possible boards were evaluated across 16 card combinations.
Equity by street
The same matchup on three flops that ask different questions: one that connects with nothing, one that offers a flush draw and a straight draw, and one that puts a pair on the board.
| Street | Board | AKs | JTs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Preflop | - | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Dry flop | Kd 7h 2c | 91.8% | 8.2% |
| Wet flop | 9h 8h 6d | 51.2% | 48.8% |
| Paired flop | Qs Qd 4c | 73.8% | 26.2% |
| Hand | Win | Tie | Lose | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AKs | 61.8% | 0.5% | 37.7% | 62.0% |
| JTs | 37.7% | 0.5% | 61.8% | 38.0% |
Why this matchup matters
Two broadway hands with no shared card is a race for the better top pair. AKs at 62.0% is ahead mainly because its highest card is higher: about half of all flops pair somebody, and when they do, the bigger card wins. Neither hand has much to fall back on when the flop misses both, which is why these pots are so often decided on the flop.
Questions about this matchup
What are the odds of AKs against JTs?
AKs has 62.0% equity against JTs before the flop. It wins outright 61.8% of the time, loses 37.7% and splits the pot 0.5%.
Are these numbers exact or estimated?
Exact. Every one of the 3,424,608 board runouts was evaluated across all 16 ways the two hands can be dealt. No sampling was used, so there is no margin of error.
How does the flop change AKs versus JTs?
On a dry Kd 7h 2c flop, AKs holds 91.8%. On a wet 9h 8h 6d board with a flush draw and a straight draw available, it holds 51.2%. Coordinated boards move equity towards the hand that can draw.
Should JTs get all-in against AKs before the flop?
Not for a full stack by choice. At 38.0% the pot needs to be offering considerably better than even money before calling off is profitable.
Both hands
Similar matchups
Hear the day the trainer opens
AKs versus JTs is settled arithmetic; recognising the spot in real time is not, and that is what the trainer drills. Everything opens without a card while Learn GTO is in early access.
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