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AKo vs AQo odds

74.4%AKo
25.6%AQo
Exact, no sampling8,561,520 boards108 card combinations

AKo beats AQo 74.4% of the time before the flop, winning outright 72.1% and splitting 4.7%. AQo holds the remaining 25.6%. These figures are exact: all 8,561,520 possible boards were evaluated across 108 card combinations.

Equity by street

The same matchup on three flops that ask different questions: one that connects with nothing, one that offers a flush draw and a straight draw, and one that puts a pair on the board.

AKo versus AQo by street
StreetBoardAKoAQo
Preflop-74.4%25.6%
Dry flopKd 7h 2c98.1%1.9%
Wet flop9h 8h 6d82.3%17.7%
Paired flopQs Qd 4c2.0%98.0%
Preflop breakdown
HandWinTieLoseEquity
AKo72.1%4.7%23.3%74.4%
AQo23.3%4.7%72.1%25.6%

Why this matchup matters

This is domination, and it is the most expensive preflop situation there is. AKo has 74.4% because both hands share their highest card: when it pairs, which is what both players are hoping for, the kicker decides the pot, and only one of them has the better one. The dominated hand is not drawing dead, but it is drawing to a board that helps it and not the other, and that is a narrow target.

Questions about this matchup

What are the odds of AKo against AQo?

AKo has 74.4% equity against AQo before the flop. It wins outright 72.1% of the time, loses 23.3% and splits the pot 4.7%.

Are these numbers exact or estimated?

Exact. Every one of the 8,561,520 board runouts was evaluated across all 108 ways the two hands can be dealt. No sampling was used, so there is no margin of error.

How does the flop change AKo versus AQo?

On a dry Kd 7h 2c flop, AKo holds 98.1%. On a wet 9h 8h 6d board with a flush draw and a straight draw available, it holds 82.3%. Coordinated boards move equity towards the hand that can draw.

Should AQo get all-in against AKo before the flop?

Not for a full stack by choice. At 25.6% the pot needs to be offering considerably better than even money before calling off is profitable.

Hear the day the trainer opens

AKo versus AQo is settled arithmetic; recognising the spot in real time is not, and that is what the trainer drills. Everything opens without a card while Learn GTO is in early access.

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