AKs vs AQs odds
AKs beats AQs 71.3% of the time before the flop, winning outright 69.2% and splitting 4.2%. AQs holds the remaining 28.7%. These figures are exact: all 1,712,304 possible boards were evaluated across 12 card combinations.
Equity by street
The same matchup on three flops that ask different questions: one that connects with nothing, one that offers a flush draw and a straight draw, and one that puts a pair on the board.
| Street | Board | AKs | AQs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Preflop | - | 71.3% | 28.7% |
| Dry flop | Kd 7h 2c | 94.7% | 5.3% |
| Wet flop | 9h 8h 6d | 76.3% | 23.7% |
| Paired flop | Qs Qd 4c | 4.9% | 95.1% |
| Hand | Win | Tie | Lose | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AKs | 69.2% | 4.2% | 26.6% | 71.3% |
| AQs | 26.6% | 4.2% | 69.2% | 28.7% |
Why this matchup matters
This is domination, and it is the most expensive preflop situation there is. AKs has 71.3% because both hands share their highest card: when it pairs, which is what both players are hoping for, the kicker decides the pot, and only one of them has the better one. The dominated hand is not drawing dead, but it is drawing to a board that helps it and not the other, and that is a narrow target.
Questions about this matchup
What are the odds of AKs against AQs?
AKs has 71.3% equity against AQs before the flop. It wins outright 69.2% of the time, loses 26.6% and splits the pot 4.2%.
Are these numbers exact or estimated?
Exact. Every one of the 1,712,304 board runouts was evaluated across all 12 ways the two hands can be dealt. No sampling was used, so there is no margin of error.
How does the flop change AKs versus AQs?
On a dry Kd 7h 2c flop, AKs holds 94.7%. On a wet 9h 8h 6d board with a flush draw and a straight draw available, it holds 76.3%. Coordinated boards move equity towards the hand that can draw.
Should AQs get all-in against AKs before the flop?
Not for a full stack by choice. At 28.7% the pot needs to be offering considerably better than even money before calling off is profitable.
Both hands
Similar matchups
Hear the day the trainer opens
AKs versus AQs is settled arithmetic; recognising the spot in real time is not, and that is what the trainer drills. Everything opens without a card while Learn GTO is in early access.
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