9 outs (flush draw), odds and equity
9 outs wins 35.0% of the time with two cards to come and 19.6% with one. That is enough to call a half-pot bet on the flop. The 2-and-4 shortcut estimates 36.0%.
Which draws have 9 outs
- A flush draw
Exact versus shortcut
| Street | Exact equity | 2-and-4 estimate | Drift |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flop (two cards to come) | 35.0% | 36.0% | +1.0 |
| Turn (one card to come) | 19.6% | 18.0% | -1.6 |
What 9 outs can call
Comparing your equity against the price each bet size offers. Green means the call breaks even on pot odds alone.
| Bet size | Equity needed | You have | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter pot | 16.7% | 35.0% | Call |
| Third pot | 20.0% | 35.0% | Call |
| Half pot | 25.0% | 35.0% | Call |
| Two-thirds pot | 28.6% | 35.0% | Call |
| Three-quarter pot | 30.0% | 35.0% | Call |
| Pot | 33.3% | 35.0% | Call |
Questions about 9 outs
What are the odds with 9 outs?
9 outs is 35.0% to hit by the river with two cards to come, and 19.6% with only the river left. Those are exact figures, not the 2-and-4 approximation.
What draw has 9 outs?
A flush draw.
What is the biggest bet 9 outs can call?
On the flop, a half-pot bet, anything up to 54% of the pot breaks even on pot odds alone. Implied odds can stretch that; being out of position shrinks it.
How far off is the 2-and-4 rule at 9 outs?
The shortcut says 36.0% from the flop against an exact 35.0%, so it is 1.0 points high. The drift grows with the number of outs.
Nearby out counts
- Next stepPut this against a real bet35.0% only means something next to the price you are being offered. The pot odds calculator takes the pot and the bet and gives you the answer in one line.
- 4 outs, gutshot straight draw16.5% from the flop
- 6 outs, two overcards24.1% from the flop
- 8 outs, open-ended straight draw31.5% from the flop
- 12 outs, flush draw with a gutshot45.0% from the flop
- 15 outs, flush draw with an open-ender54.1% from the flop
- All out counts1 to 21
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